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    Kiernan can't do it alone

    by: desmoinesdem

    Mon Feb 02, 2009 at 12:00:41 PM CST


    Congratulations to Des Moines City Council member Michael Kiernan, who was elected to chair the Iowa Democratic Party on Saturday, along with First Vice-Chair Sue Dvorsky, Second Vice-Chair Chris Peterson, Treasurer Ken Sagar and Secretary Dori Rammelsberg-Dvorak.

    I was pleased to read Kiernan's remarks from his first press conference:

    "We have over 100,000 new registered voters in this state who are Democrats, hundreds of new activists. I think our key is to keep these folks in the party, to bring them home permanently. I think they've stopped by for a visit, and it's our job to reach out to those new voters and bring them home permanently."  

    Kiernan said Democrats will use new technology, social platforms and grassroots engagement to bring additional people into the party and bring newly registered Democrats home to roost.

    "Now it's about telling these folks that they're welcome in our party and making sure that they know they have a seat at our table permanently" [...]

    Kiernan echoed these points in the press release from the Iowa Democratic Party, which I've posted after the jump.

    It's good to know the IDP's leader understands that we can't count on first-time Democratic voters to continue to support the party. This is especially true because President Barack Obama will not be on the ballot in 2010. Many newly-registered Iowa Democrats were mobilized by Obama's presidential campaign.

    Kiernan noted his family's tradition of "Democratic public service" on Saturday. He seems to be no more than two degrees of separation removed from anyone who's anyone in Iowa Democratic circles. Tom Harkin held one of his first steak fry events at the Kiernans' family farm.

    I expect that this political legacy will greatly shorten Kiernan's learning curve as the new party chairman. His mother, Joan Kiernan, has been a Democratic activist for decades and served as the IDP's secretary in the past.

    Michael Kiernan has also had a close-up view of election campaigns at all levels. His father ran successfully for the Madison County supervisors. His mother was involved in Dick Gephardt's presidential campaigns. Michael Kiernan managed Chet Culver's first bid for secretary of state in 1998 and Preston Daniels' successful mayoral campaign in Des Moines the same year. He also won a special election for a seat on the Des Moines City Council in 2004. (He has not disclosed whether he plans to seek re-election to that position this fall.)

    With this extensive campaign experience, Kiernan has seen what works and what doesn't work for Iowa Democrats. That's bound to help the IDP's "coordinated campaign" going into the 2010 midterms. The national political environment is likely to be less favorable for Democrats than it was in 2006 and 2008, so the IDP will have to be at the top of its game in getting out the vote. (It can't hurt that Kiernan is on good terms with labor union officials.)

    Turnout is always lower in midterm elections. In 2006, about 1.05 million Iowans cast ballots for governor, whereas turnout in the most recent presidential election was about 1.5 million. Clearly not all of the newly-registered Democrats will vote in 2010, but even if only half of them turn out, that could give Democrats a significant advantage.

    Kiernan and other party leaders can do plenty to build on the IDP's success with early voting, but the mechanics of GOTV efforts won't be enough to keep new voters in the Democratic fold.

    Here's where Governor Chet Culver and the Democratic leadership in the state legislature come in. Coasting on the usual advantages of incumbency is not going to be enough, especially if the economy is still in bad shape in 2010.

    The best way to change Iowa from a purple state to a blue state is for Democratic elected officials to deliver real, lasting change. That will involve taking on some big problems despite the political risks. In a time of budget scarcity, state legislators can't just throw money at a lot of popular programs.

    Nothing succeeds like success. If Democrats can show that their governance made a tangible difference in the lives of Iowans, it will be easier to give voters a reason to back Culver and Democratic legislators again in 2010. I've got a few suggestions:

    -Reduce the influence of money in politics by approving a voluntary "clean elections" system on the model of Maine or Arizona;
    -Reject new coal fired power plants (as several of our neighboring states have done) and increase our capacity to generate wind and solar power;
    -Allow "local control" of large hog confinements (agricultural zoning at the county level);
    -Make progress toward providing light rail in the Ames/Ankeny/Des Moines and Iowa City/Cedar Rapids corridors.

    I can't say I'm optimistic about the Democratic leadership taking on any of those tasks, because powerful corporate interests could line up against them.

    But I am convinced that we need to have something big to show for four years of Democratic control at the statehouse and Terrace Hill. Give Kiernan something to sell to the voters he's trying to keep in the Democratic fold.

    The IDP's press release announcing Kiernan's election is after the jump.

    desmoinesdem :: Kiernan can't do it alone
    For Immediate Release                                                                      
    January 31, 2009

    Kiernan to Chair Iowa Democratic Party  

    DES MOINES - Today the Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee convened to elect Michael Kiernan the new chair of the Iowa Democratic Party. Kiernan will begin his term as Chair immediately and serve through 2010.

    "Mike is a dedicated public servant who will be a terrific leader for the Democratic Party," said Governor Chet Culver.  "I know Mike will continue to build upon the outstanding success of outgoing Chairman, Scott Brennan, and engage the thousands of new voters inspired by President Obama to help elect Democrats across Iowa."  

    "Mike has been an active Democrat his entire life, starting when his family hosted one of my first steak frys at their family farm," said Senator Tom Harkin.  "I look forward to helping Mike re-elect Governor Culver, our Congressional delegation and expanding our majorities in the House and Senate."

    Michael Kiernan, 33, is a small business owner, is serving in his second term as an At-Large member of the Des Moines City Council and served as Mayor Pro Tem.  He is a life-long Iowan, born and raised in Madison County.  He has vast campaign experience including serving as Campaign Manager for both Chet Culver's successful 1998 race for Secretary of State, and former Des Moines Mayor Preston Daniels.

    "This last election was historic and energized me to want to do even more for the Democratic Party," said Michael Kiernan, Chair of the Iowa Democratic Party.  "Democrats have enjoyed great success these last two cycles and I want to build on that success.  As Chair I will work every day to reach out to the thousands of new Democrats and keep them in our state and local party structures.  These voters will be the key to our success in 2010."

    The State Central Committee also elected the following Executive Officers:

    First Vice-Chair - Sue Dvorsky, Coralville
    Second Vice-Chair - Chris Peterson, Clear Lake
    Treasurer - Ken Sagar, Des Moines,
    Secretary - Dori Rammelsberg-Dvorak, Clutier  

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    Couldn't agree more (0.00 / 0)
    section from "Kiernan and other party leaders ..." to "But I am convinced ..."

    It's something that isn't discussed enough, IMO.

    One problem is that accountability is the necessary check to bring about good or outstanding governance. The DP is increasingly relying on transient/mobile populations for votes, which isn't a prescription for government being held accountable. For example, it's a fresh set of faces every four years at the student precincts, particularly in a state like IA where so many students leave after their education.

    A few years ago, I did a lot of high-level work for a state campaign. This included a turnout forecasting model. Post-election (we won) I did some follow-up analysis by precinct. Unsurprisingly, the most unreliable turnout was in precincts dominated by dense clusters, apartments and so on, which in turn trended minority or student. I would say that today, at least 50% of the residents are new since that election. These are also very 'blue' precincts as compared with the more stable precinct communities, which trend moderate/conservative.

    I'll be blunt -- the reps in the district are all doing as they please, because they know that a significant chunk of the 2006 electorate has already been replenished. New faces, new promises for 2010.

    Essentially, this is why I'm less enthusiastic about 50-state strategies and so on. I think Kiernan's comment about 'stopping by for a visit' is on point, but it's difficult for long-time activists to leverage for change if the base is transient in nature. You may have greater success forming more permanent bonds in IA, but here it's really difficult. People just cycle in and out.

     


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