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    It's what plants crave.

    An early look at next year's campaign messages on health care

    by: desmoinesdem

    Sun Dec 27, 2009 at 07:28:26 AM CST


    Assuming the House and the Senate pass whatever health insurance bill comes out of the conference committee, Republicans and Democrats are likely to highlight the reform during next year's campaigns. Recent polls have shown that most Americans don't expect action by this Congress to improve the quality of their own health care or reduce its cost. Complicating matters for Democrats, key provisions of the bill won't take effect until 2013 or 2014, giving Republicans plenty of time to exploit fears about the so-called "government takeover" of health care.

    After the jump, Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Senator Chuck Grassley preview messages we'll hear from GOP candidates across the country, while Senator Tom Harkin summarizes some "immediate benefits" of the health insurance reform.

    desmoinesdem :: An early look at next year's campaign messages on health care
    Miller-Meeks is running against Representative Dave Loebsack again in Iowa's second Congressional district. I assume she will win the GOP primary, but even if she doesn't, the Republican nominee's message on health care will probably sound a lot like this:

    "The bill approved today will benefit insurance companies at the cost of the taxpayer and ordinary working, middle-income Iowans and Americans. It does not bend the cost curve down or control escalating health care costs," the Ottumwa ophthalmologist said this morning. "It will increase health insurance premiums. Despite its tremendous cost, it does not provide universal coverage and, even more importantly, it fails to provide portable insurance for individuals so they're able to keep their insurance coverage as they go from one job to another or one state to another." [...]

    "The Senate bill is terrible. Unfortunately, the House bill is even worse. The entire process led by Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi is a disaster for America because it's going to cost trillions of dollars going forward and it's going to make the health-care system worse instead of better. It's already been widely reported that Nebraskans will never have to pay the increased costs for Medicaid. That was a deal that was cut to get Senator Ben Nelson to vote for it. We can only imagine how many more deals like that are going to have to be made at the expense of the American people so the Democrats can get the votes they need to take over our health care system."

    I don't think Loebsack is vulnerable in his D+7 district, where Miller-Meeks couldn't even crack 40 percent in 2008, but unfortunately I see a lot of Republicans getting traction with this kind of message.

    When the drug industry's lobbying arm PhRMA and insurance giant AETNA praise the Senate's health reform bill (which won't change much in conference), they reinforce the Republican talking point that this legislation wasn't designed for the benefit of ordinary Americans. A public health insurance option would have been extremely popular, but Democrats failed to get that provision in the bill.

    Senator Chuck Grassley claimed in his December 22 floor speech that by 2019, only 7 percent of tax filers will receive a subsidy for health insurance, while 93 percent "receive no government benefit" from the bill, and millions of middle-income taxpayers will in fact see a net tax increase. In other words, Republicans will be telling voters, "Democrats are only helping a tiny minority while making people like you pay more taxes."

    Next year, Democrats will need to make the case that health insurance reform is helping millions of people without forcing extra costs on Americans. Senator Harkin's office listed some of the bill's "immediate benefits" in a December 24 press release:

    Access to Affordable Coverage for the Uninsured with Pre-existing Conditions: the bill provides $5 billion in immediate federal support for a new program to provide affordable coverage to uninsured Americans with pre-existing conditions. This provision is effective in 2010, and coverage under this program will continue until new Exchanges are operational in 2014.

    Access to Quality Care for Vulnerable Populations: the bill makes an immediate and substantial investment in Community Health Centers to provide the funding needed to expand access to health care in communities where it is needed most. This $10 billion investment begins in 2010 and extends for five years.

    No Pre-existing Coverage Exclusions for Children: the bill eliminates pre-existing condition exclusions for all Americans beginning in 2014, when the Exchanges are operational. Recognizing the special vulnerability of children, the Managers' Amendment prohibits health insurers from excluding coverage of pre-existing conditions for children, effective in 2010 and applying to all new plans.

    Closing the Coverage Gap in the Medicare (Part D) Drug Benefit: the bill reduces the size of the "donut hole," raising the ceiling on the initial coverage period by $500 in 2010.

    Small Business Tax Credits: the bill will offer tax credits to small businesses beginning in 2010 to make employee coverage more affordable.   Tax credits of up to 35 percent of premiums will be immediately available to businesses that choose to offer coverage; later, when Exchanges are operational, tax credits will be up to 50 percent of premiums. The full credit will be available to firms with 10 or fewer employees with average annual wages of $25,000, while businesses with up to 25 or fewer employees and average annual wages of up to $50,000 will also be eligible for the credit.

    Free Prevention Benefits: The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act will require coverage of prevention and wellness benefits and exempt these benefits from deductibles and other cost-sharing requirements in public and private insurance coverage. This provision takes effect in 2010 and applies to all new plans.

    No Lifetime Limits on Coverage: The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act will prohibit insurers from imposing lifetime limits on benefits. This provision takes effect in 2010 and applies to all new plans.

    Restricted Annual Limits on Coverage: The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act will tightly restrict insurance companies' use of annual limits to ensure access to needed care, effective six months after enactment for all new health plans. These tight restrictions will be defined by the Secretary of Health and Human Services. When the Exchanges are operational, the use of annual limits will be banned.

    Rural and underserved communities:  Access will be expanded through funding for rural health care providers and training programs for physician and other types of health care providers.  

    Preventive medicine and public health training grant program: Amends and reauthorizes section 768 of the Public Health Service Act, the preventive medicine and public health residency program.

    Loan repayment for faculty at schools that train physician assistants: Includes faculty at schools for physician assistants as eligible or faculty loan repayment within the workforce diversity program.

    National diabetes prevention program: Establishes a national diabetes prevention program at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. State, local, and tribal public health departments and non-profit entities can use funds for community-based prevention activities, training and outreach, and evaluation.

    Adjustment to Low-Volume Hospital Provision ("Tweener" Hospital Fix):  The amendment increases threshold for eligible hospitals from 1,500 Medicare Part A discharges per year to 1,600 per year.

    Rural physician training grants: Authorizes grants for medical schools to establish programs that recruit students from underserved rural areas who have a desire to practice in their hometowns. Programs would provide students with specialized training in rural health issues, and assist them in finding residencies that specialize in training doctors for practice in underserved rural communities.

    I hope new community health centers will be up and running quickly, because that provision should expand access to primary care and reduce unnecessary emergency room visits.

    Harkin doesn't mention the rule requiring insurance companies to spend 85 percent of their premium revenues either on medical care or on rebates to the insured. According to Bruce Webb, the Senate Manager's Amendment contains that provision, which Webb explained in more detail here. If properly enforced, this sounds like an important regulation, though I don't know how easy it would be for Democratic incumbents to convey this in a sound-bite format.

    I would encourage Democrats to hammer on Republicans for their bogus claims about the health reform bill being too expensive. This story by the AP sums up the GOP's hypocrisy (hat tip funluv1):

    [W]hen Republicans controlled the House, Senate and White House in 2003, they overcame Democratic opposition to add a deficit-financed prescription drug benefit to Medicare. The program will cost a half-trillion dollars over 10 years, or more by some estimates.

    With no new taxes or spending offsets accompanying the Medicare drug program, the cost has been added to the federal debt.

    All current GOP senators, including the 24 who voted for the 2003 Medicare expansion, oppose the health care bill that's backed by President Barack Obama and most congressional Democrats. Some Republicans say they don't believe the CBO's projections that the health care overhaul will pay for itself. As for their newfound worries about big government health expansions, they essentially say: That was then, this is now.

    Six years ago, "it was standard practice not to pay for things," said Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah. "We were concerned about it, because it certainly added to the deficit, no question." His 2003 vote has been vindicated, Hatch said, because the prescription drug benefit "has done a lot of good."

    Give me a break.

    What do you think, Bleeding Heartland readers? Who's going to make the more persuasive case to voters about health insurance reform: Republicans who say it costs too much without solving big problems, or Democrats who say it helps millions and pays for itself, no thanks to GOP obstructionists?

    Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
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    perhaps Harkin (4.00 / 1)
    Harkin doesn't mention the rule requiring insurance companies to spend 85 percent of their premium revenues either on medical care or on rebates to the insured.

    is smart enough not to get into the business of promising rebates ...

    Since underwriting is greatly reduced under HIR, you would expect the effective MLR to increase anyway. One would expect a shift from underwriting to claims processing, just like Medicare. So, I'm not sure how potent an 80% MLR in the small group/individual market is for issuing "rebates."

    Second, what is classified as "care" vs "administration" is still up for debate (according to the manager's amendment, the NAIC will play a role here later in the year while we squabble about other things). This determines whether there is any actual increase in $$ spent on patient care.

    Third, I see a loophole in the MA that allows for "adjustment"  of the percentage if it "destabilizes" the market.

    There is no Santa Claus in health insurance reform.

    I agree that it "sounds good" to tout this MLR "reform" but that might get your office tons of calls in the future asking "WHERE'S MAH REBATE?"


    note (4.00 / 1)
    the 85% is for the large group market, which is more stable. The current MLRs for the LGMs are already pretty high. It's the small group/individual where they've been low.

    [ Parent ]
    I didn't mean (0.00 / 0)
    Democrats should tout this as in, "You're going to get a rebate!" I meant tout it as in, "We are going to force insurance companies to spend less money on administration and more money on medical care."

    Bruce Webb claims the manager's amendment closes a loophole in a previous version of this bill (which would have imposed the MLR only until the exchanges were open). However, I assume pretty much everything good in this bill has a loophole that will allow corporations to evade the new rules. When AETNA cheers, you know this isn't "the change we need."

    Invite other Iowa political junkies to join us at Bleeding Heartland.


    [ Parent ]
    but dmd, (0.00 / 0)
    Democrats should tout this as in, "You're going to get a rebate!"

    Americans love rebates! Let's face it, if Roxanne Conlin takes an Old Tyme Medicine Show from town to town promising rebates, she'll leave Grassley's charts and graphs in the dust.

    OTOH, Harkin is probably telling the Dems: Look, I already did the "Public Option by Christmas!" thing, just to leave coal in stockings. Please don't make me do the rebates.

    I meant tout it as in, "We are going to force insurance companies to spend less money on administration and more money on medical care."

    Oh.

    Well, in that case, it gets a

    from me. Besides, I thought insurance is a large component of the state economy? Do populist arguments against insurance companies resonate in IA, generally speaking?

    until the exchanges were open

    once the exchanges are open, it goes to a 3-yr rolling average. More games.

    I'm not going to sweat the details until they pass the thing at this point.

    When AETNA cheers, you know this isn't "the change we need."

    Exactly. I don't think ppl are stupid. They will look for bread-and-butter benefits.


    [ Parent ]
    some insurance companies (0.00 / 0)
    are big employers in central Iowa, but Iowans get jerked around on health insurance coverage just like everyone else. I think a populist case would resonate with people here, if we had a bill that could support such a populist case.

    Republicans are extremely lucky that Democrats have blown the chance to realign politics for a generation. If we had gotten this issue right, it would have been game over.

    As things stand, a lot of people with great benefits are going to see their employer-provided insurance degraded because of the excise tax. So much for, "you will get to keep the insurance you have."

    Invite other Iowa political junkies to join us at Bleeding Heartland.


    [ Parent ]
    I know of 2 (4.00 / 1)
    hr depts in my area considering downgrading to HMOs.

    Early last week I pulled quotes by plans/age groups for my area. The excise tax kicks in for comprehensive plans at around age 45 and really starts hitting plans at age 50+. By comprehensive, I don't mean "Cadillac" but low deductible/some physician choice.

    Of course, I will not be able to keep what I have as the specific plan structure is getting rolled back. It was a lie from day one for me.

    to realign politics for a generation.

    Oh, it's happening ... just not in the way you imagined it would.


    [ Parent ]
    the Republicans could still blow it (0.00 / 0)
    I don't think they are guaranteed to pull off realignment. The teabaggers will still pull a lot of their nominees into the unelectable column.

    But Democrats are certainly doing their best to turn off groups that came out in force for Obama in 2008.

    Invite other Iowa political junkies to join us at Bleeding Heartland.


    [ Parent ]
    i wasn't talking about (0.00 / 0)
    the Republicans. They'll be more competitive, but I don't anticipate steamrolling in 2010. What I meant is that the Dem party, as you knew it, is pretty much over.

    [ Parent ]
    To the larger issue (0.00 / 0)
    Who's going to make the more persuasive case to voters

    Well, we know one thing for sure. Grassley's staff is already making pie charts and graphs. He's practicing in front of an easel as I type ... If I were Roxanne Conlin, I'd be cursing that I have to study up on this crap!!

    As of today, the Dems are upside down on the issue. Let's say 40% nationwide want this reform. Supposedly, Dems are on a wild tear trying to make it look good to voters -- I've already seen examples of the fluffing.

    [1] I think the biggest problem for Dems is the last minute deal-making. Did Iowa get any loot? No? In a state filled w/ an unusually high # of fiscal scolds (according to the Iowa Poll), do the math. Gosh, with Nebraska next door ...

    [2] For those already insured (and happy w/ their plan) the biggest issue is convincing them that life won't change in the long run.

    [3] For those w/o coverage and above 150%FPL, it'll come down to the Kaiser web tool. That you can get an exemption is no comfort if you need insurance that is otherwise a huge chunk of your income.

    The economy will be the bigger issue. There will be some lift due to temp jobs early in the year. If things look good by summer, people will grumble less about health insurance reform. If it's still 8%+ unemployment, then people will frown over the spending.

    The next biggest issue is how seniors feel about this. Both sides will go to extremes in describing impact on Medicare. It will be quite unpleasant. Also, whether "entitlement reform" is a concurrent issue plays a role here.


    if Obama pushes entitlement reform next year (0.00 / 0)
    Democrats might as well give up. Talk about political suicide.

    From where I'm sitting, the health insurance reform screws over most of the constituencies that got Obama elected. Not smart if you want your base to turn out for you.

    Grassley won't be out there with health insurance pie charts. I predict he will try to change the subject next year. The health care reform debate hurt his image--he will go back to nickel and dime "cracking down on wasteful spending" stuff instead. Not that Grassley ever blinked an eye at blank checks for war or Medicare part D, but he loves to talk about a few hundred thousand dollars wasted here or there.

    Invite other Iowa political junkies to join us at Bleeding Heartland.


    [ Parent ]
    if you think about it (0.00 / 0)
    this bill took the worst of the McCain/Hillary/JRE plans --

    mandate
    excise tax

    and left out the better parts --

    portability
    real public option

    Speaking of real public option ... I see the Lieberman/Rahm dunnit meme is still alive and well:


    Of course he (Lieberman) has no conscience and that makes it easy for him to fuck over other people, but his strategy was successful by any measure. He, more than any one Senator impacted the outcome of the Senate bill.

    ...

    The unions were severely outplayed by Rahm and Company. They got used like an mentally abused girlfriend who keeps convincing herself that deep down, he really does love her. But at the end of this particular cycle of abuse, she is out of cash, knocked up, lacking health insurance and the boyfriend refuses to help her.

    No mention of anyone else. Imagine that.

    if you really want to engage in the hyperbole that the lack of a strong public option killed health insurance reform, then the deed was done in June/HR 3200 once the exchanges/PO were restricted to the uninsured. I can't believe the histrionics over the sickly PO w/ opt-out. Put the damn thing back in, it won't cure the bill.


    the excise tax (0.00 / 0)
    alone is a deal-breaker for me. That is just a disaster on policy and political grounds.

    Invite other Iowa political junkies to join us at Bleeding Heartland.

    [ Parent ]
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