| Does anyone else think that it is a big mistake for Obama to not release his numbers, given that everyone else has? He is more or less being cut out of the discussion right now, and unless he has actually beat Hillary he's not going to get a huge boost when he does (and even then he would get the same boost now and drown out her positive press.)
If Iowa is any indication, the bumbling Obama campaign likely has no idea how much money they raised this quarter, and won't know for sure until the deadline or even after. The checks are spread all over someone's desk - on top of their list of important phone messages, no doubt.
I am also surprised that the media has accepted that $26 million figure from Clinton uncritically, when a healthy chunk could be useful only in the general election. Mitt Romney may end up being the highest fundraiser of all the candidates on either side. He should also see a more dramatic second quarter drop than anyone else.
Winners:
John Edwards - He stays in the first tier, when bad fundraising could have knocked him out of the competition.
Bill Richardson - Raises the most by far of the second tier candidates. This guy is doing everything right, and has a good chance if one of the top candidates stumbles.
Losers:
Chris Dodd and Joe Biden - Come on guys, you have some sort of national networks, and you're getting killed by the governor of a tiny state? You might as well drop out now, because neither of you are going anywhere.
Obama - For not having his shit together. Not getting talked about is as good as not raising money.
Hillary (maybe) - We'll know better on the 15th, but her inability to put serious distance between her opponents and herself in fundraising means that the whole "inevitability" thing is disappearing fast. As far as I'm concerned, general election money raised at this point is gimmickry. It's not like people who max out to you in the primary aren't going to go back and donate to you in the general anyway. |