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Bleeding Heartland
It's what plants crave.
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Bob Vander Plaats
Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 17:00:00 PM CDT
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I expect at least one former Republican state legislator to run for the open U.S. Senate seat next year. Iowa Department of Inspections and Appeals Director Rod Roberts told The Iowa Republican's Kevin Hall that he is seriously considering the race.
"A few months ago I didn't anticipate that running for the U.S. Senate would be a real possibility," Roberts said. "Like most folks, I assumed either Congressman Latham or Congressman King would run. But, as the odds have increased that neither congressman will run, more people have encouraged me to think about it. At this point, I'd say I'm certainly considering the opportunity, and I'm planning to continue talking with family, friends and supporters in the coming weeks."
Roberts represented the Carroll area in the Iowa House for a decade before running for governor in 2010. He was an adequate campaigner, but his principal role in my opinion was as stalking horse for Terry Branstad during the Republican primary. On the other hand, Carroll-based journalist Douglas Burns believes Roberts would be the ideal Senate candidate for the GOP to run against Democrat Bruce Braley.
Any comments about the IA-Sen campaign are welcome in this thread. According to Hall's latest post, State Senator Joni Ernst "has set a timeline of about 30 days to make a decision" about the Senate race. Bob Vander Plaats told the Sioux City Journal he believes Latham may change his mind about not seeking the Senate seat if Steve King decides to stay in IA-04, as expected.
UPDATE: In the unlikely event that Rod Roberts wins the Senate nomination, I think his move to reduce nursing home inspectors would become a general election campaign issue.
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Wed Apr 03, 2013 at 18:35:00 PM CDT
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What's on your mind, Bleeding Heartland readers? Four years ago today, the Iowa Supreme Court announced its unanimous ruling in Varnum v Brien, striking down our state's Defense of Marriage Act. After the jump I've posted some links about that case, marriage equality in general, and today's Iowa Governors Conference on LGBTQ Youth.
This is an open thread: all topics welcome.
The return of Iowa wildflower Wednesday is probably still a couple of weeks away. By the first week of April 2012, many spring wildflowers were already in bloom (far earlier than usual), but even the bloodroot isn't out yet where I live.
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Wed Mar 27, 2013 at 19:31:00 PM CDT
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Today the U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments in United States v. Windsor, a challenge to the constitutionality of the 1996 federal Defense of Marriage Act. Unlike yesterday's hearing on California's same-sex marriage ban, this case will affect many Iowans directly. The court's ruling on DOMA will determine whether thousands of married LGBT couples in Iowa are eligible for benefits granted to married citizens under federal law.
Lots of links are after the jump, but the enduring sound bite from the day will surely be Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's comment: "You're saying [...] there are two kinds of marriages, the full marriage, and this sort of skim milk marriage."
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Wed Mar 06, 2013 at 20:15:00 PM CST
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This is an open thread: all topics welcome.
Jennifer Jacobs' latest piece speculating on GOP candidates for Iowa's U.S. Senate seat includes a classic comment from former Mitt Romney strategist and marriage equality supporter David Kochel: "When I hear names like Steve Deace and Bob Vander Plaats for Senate, it reminds me of the bar scene in 'Star Wars.'"
Jacobs also mentioned one name I hadn't heard before in this context: State Senator Mark Chelgren. He is up for re-election in the Democratic-leaning Ottumwa area next year, so he would have to give up his Iowa Senate seat in order to seek the GOP nomination for the U.S. Senate.
This week an anonymous group calling itself "Iowa Republicans for Truth" declared war against The Iowa Republican blog and its publisher, Craig Robinson. More details are after the jump. I enjoyed the Iowa .Gif-t Shop's take on the kerfuffle.
UPDATE: In the comments, Bleeding Heartland user conservative demo mentioned Ed Tibbetts' piece for the Quad-City Times on the battle brewing inside the Scott County Republican Party. I've added excerpts below.
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Fri Mar 01, 2013 at 10:50:00 AM CST
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Governor Terry Branstad announced a long list of appointees to state boards and commissions today. I've posted the full press release after the jump, along with background on some of the most newsworthy nominations. The governor tapped several former state lawmakers or candidates for the legislature, as well as his younger son, Marcus Branstad.
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Wed Feb 27, 2013 at 14:25:00 PM CST
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Representative Tom Latham (IA-03) announced in an e-mail to supporters this afternoon that he will not seek the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate in 2014. I've posted his message after the jump. When Latham says, "I cannot in good conscience launch a two-year statewide campaign that will detract from the commitment I made to the people who elected me [...]," I think he means, I prefer not to give up an easy job.
Governor Terry Branstad had made clear on several occasions, most recently this past weekend, that he would like Latham to run for Senate. Latham's decision clears a path for many other Republicans who are reportedly considering the race, including former U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker, State Senator Brad Zaun, Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds, Iowa Senate Minority Leader Bill Dix, and Secretary of State Matt Schultz.
I'm standing by my prediction that Representative Steve King will not leave his safe perch in IA-04 for a statewide campaign he knows he would lose. Some "bold color conservative" is bound to run, though. I suspect Bob Vander Plaats knows that his ship has sailed, but maybe he has one last campaign in him.
Any comments about the IA-Sen race are welcome in this thread. Representative Bruce Braley will surely be relieved to have Latham off the list of potential Republican opponents.
UPDATE: Politico's James Hohmann tweets, "Iowa Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds is 'very serious' about running for Senate, a source tells me." Imagine what Republicans would say about a Democrat who didn't finish college running for U.S. Senate. Further updates are after the jump.
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Fri Feb 08, 2013 at 08:33:11 AM CST
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The Des Moines Register's Friday edition includes the key findings from its first Iowa poll by Selzer & Co. on the 2014 U.S. Senate race. The top Democratic contender to replace Senator Tom Harkin would be former Governor Tom Vilsack, who has not expressed any interest in the campaign.
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Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 09:35:46 AM CST
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Representative Tom Latham (IA-03) told journalists in Washington yesterday that he is thinking about running for the U.S. Senate in 2014. He declined to specify when he will announce his plans, but he said he will "make my own decision" rather than be influenced by Representative Steve King (IA-04). Deirdre Walsh reported for CNN,
Pressed if he thinks a Senate bid by King could hurt the GOP's chances of taking the seat - something other national Republicans have expressed concerns over - Latham told reporters outside the House floor that King is "a very viable member of Congress."
If Latham wants the Senate seat, he would be advised to announce sooner rather than later. A few days ago, King told conservative talk radio host Larry O'Connor that he is "fifty-fifty" on running for the Senate seat. Click through to listen to King's comments. In weighing his decision, he is considering "whether the energy is out there" to support his bid and "whether we can raise the money" for a statewide race. I still expect King to stay in IA-04, where he's safe for the next decade, but he may be tempted to take on the Republican establishment.
The least likely scenario in my mind is Latham and King running against each other in a GOP primary. If one of them announces a Senate campaign, the other will stay out. A new Wenzel Strategies poll of "likely Republican primary voters" in Iowa found that King would be the early leader in a Senate primary, with Latham in second place and Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds third. Public Policy Polling surveyed Iowa Republicans over the weekend and found King leading among moderates as well as among respondents who described themselves as "very conservative."
UPDATE: I missed this story at the Rothenberg Political Report last night. Latham's changing the name of his campaign committee from "Latham for Congress" to "Iowans for Latham."
SECOND UPDATE: Michael Devine, a talk radio host for KVFD AM 1400 in Fort Dodge, posted on Facebook today, "Congressman Steve King told us this morning the chances are 'better than 50 percent' he will run for the Senate."
THIRD UPDATE: Excerpts from Public Policy Polling's latest Iowa poll findings are after the jump.
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Sun Feb 03, 2013 at 14:43:46 PM CST
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After a dismal performance by his political vehicles in 2012, the man once known as "Bush's brain" is working to stop unelectable Republican candidates from winning GOP primaries in 2014. Jeff Zeleny reports in today's New York Times that Karl Rove's super-PAC American Crossroads is creating the "Conservative Victory Project." One of Rove's associates confirmed that stopping Representative Steve King from becoming the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate in Iowa will be a priority.
Details and toplines from the first poll on the open IA-Sen race are below.
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Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 20:05:00 PM CST
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What's on your mind, Bleeding Heartland readers? This is an open thread. After the jump I've posted a new editorial from The FAMiLY Leader's Bob Vander Plaats. As you can imagine, he's upset about "Republican elites" pushing for acceptance of LGBT civil marriage rights.
Vander Plaats has made a pretty good living off the culture wars, but he hasn't done as well as National Organization for Marriage President Brian Brown. The pro-LGBT equality group Rights Equal Rights issued a press release today highlighting details from NOM's 2011 tax return (pdf). Notably, Brian Brown made over $500,000 dollars: $230,000 for working full-time at NOM's political operation, and $230,000 from NOM's Educational Fund "where he claimed to work another 40 hours per week," plus $47,000 in benefits.
Speaking of the "traditional marriage" crowd, Mark Doland has a slim edge over former State Senator Tom Rielly in Tuesday's special election for Mahaska County supervisor. Rielly posted on Facebook that as of Tuesday night, Doland led by 1391 votes to 1375. Some provisional ballots and late-arriving absentees had not yet been counted.
Doland used to be a staffer for the Iowa Family Policy Center and worked closely with Vander Plaats during the 2010 campaign to oust Iowa Supreme Court justices. He now serves on the Republican Party of Iowa's State Central Committee. Rielly, a Democrat, was mayor of Oskaloosa before serving two terms in the Iowa Senate. He retired last year after Iowa's new map removed Grinnell from his district and added heavily Republican areas such as Pella. Republican Ken Rozenboom was elected in the new Senate district 40, forcing the special election for his Mahaska County supervisor seat.
Interestingly, Rozenboom endorsed Rielly for county supervisor, even though his fellow Republican Doland had stood aside for him in Iowa Senate district 40. UPDATE: Rielly conceded defeat by 21 votes on February 4. Republicans won't soon forget that Rozenboom preferred a Democrat for this supervisor's seat.
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Tue Jan 29, 2013 at 10:45:00 AM CST
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Very few prominent Iowa Republicans have endorsed same-sex marriage rights since the Iowa Supreme Court's 2009 decision striking down the state's Defense of Marriage Act. Every Republican now serving in the Iowa House and Senate is on record supporting a constitutional amendment to reverse that court ruling. When former State Senator Jeff Angelo created the Iowans for Freedom movement in 2011 to support marriage equality as consistent with conservative values, only a handful of Republicans signed on. One of them, Linn County Supervisor Brent Oleson, was later warned against seeking the GOP nomination for the special election in Senate district 18, in part because of his position on marriage.
Last night some heavy-hitter Republican strategists and activists met in Des Moines to urge the Iowa GOP to change its stance on marriage equality.
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Sat Jan 26, 2013 at 09:49:52 AM CST
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Terrible news for Iowa Democrats: Senator Tom Harkin told Tom Beaumont of the Associated Press that he will retire rather than seek re-election in 2014. Not only will there be an open seat at the top of the ticket, the Iowa Democratic Party won't be able to count on Harkin's millions to fund a decent coordinated GOTV campaign in a midterm election year. Even if Democrats manage to win that statewide race while Governor Terry Branstad's also on the ballot, we will lose an Iowan in charge of a powerful Senate committee. Incoming Iowa Democratic Party Chair Tyler Olson has a difficult road ahead.
Representative Bruce Braley is likely to run for Harkin's seat, and unless either Tom or Christie Vilsack is interested, the primary would probably be uncontested. The silver lining here is a chance to elect a woman to Congress in IA-01. Iowa Senate President Pam Jochum would be my first choice, but there are many capable Democratic women in those 20 counties.
An excerpt from Braley's appearance on Iowa Public Television's "Iowa Press" this weekend is after the jump. I'll post further updates there. UPDATE: Much more is below, including the statement from Harkin's office.
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Wed Nov 28, 2012 at 06:35:00 AM CST
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More than 1,100 people attended the Governor's Bullying Prevention Summit in Des Moines yesterday. To his credit, Governor Terry Branstad stayed all day to listen to speakers like Sioux City Superintendent of Schools Paul Gausman and Rosalind Wiseman, author of the book "Queen Bees and Wannabes." The governor also announced a new hotline and website designed to help young people targeted by bullies.
I was unable to watch the livestream from what sounds like a fantastic event. After the jump I've posted a bunch of news and links about the summit as well as background on Iowa's anti-bullying policies.
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Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 07:25:00 AM CST
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Supporters of LGBT equality are celebrating yesterday's votes for same-sex marriage rights in Maine, Maryland, and Washington, as well as Minnesotans rejecting a constitutional amendment designed to restrict marriage rights to heterosexuals.
The election also slammed the door on any prospect of overturning marriage equality in Iowa.
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Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 15:14:00 PM CST
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Whatever happens in tonight's Iowa legislative races, one mystery will remain: why couldn't Republicans recruit a stronger candidate to run against Mike Gronstal in Iowa Senate district 8?
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Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 11:50:25 AM CST
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Given how much money Democratic and Republican leaders are spending on advertising in the Iowa Senate races, it's unfortunate that so few of the television and radio commercials are available online. Both of the candidates in the battleground Senate district 30 (Cedar Falls/Waterloo) continue to set a good example for transparency, though.
The final tv ads supporting Senator Jeff Danielson and his Republican challenger Matt Reisetter are after the jump, along with other recent news from the campaign. Bleeding Heartland discussed these candidates' previous ads here and here.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 at 16:15:00 PM CDT
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Three-time candidate for Iowa governor Bob Vander Plaats has made news this fall primarily on the "No Wiggins" campaign trail. However, the social conservative group he runs is supporting some Republican Iowa Senate candidates as well.
Last week the FAMiLY Leader launched radio advertising campaigns in two competitive Senate races--but notably, not in the district where Vander Plaats' longtime right-hand man Matt Reisetter is running.
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Tue Oct 30, 2012 at 14:35:38 PM CDT
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When tea party favorite Jane Jech defeated former State Senator Larry McKibben in the Republican primary to represent Iowa Senate district 36, I expected smooth sailing for Democratic incumbent Steve Sodders. Now this race looks like a tossup. Neither candidate's advertising is educating voters about meaningful differences on real issues.
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