In a little more than 30 minutes, Des Moines-based KCCI TV will release their last Iowa caucus poll that will show that Iowa Democrats are equally divided in their support for presidential candidates Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, and Barack Obama.
Lee Newspapers was also involved in the polling effort (whether through helping pay for it, sponsoring it, etc.) and they published their story online with the numbers earlier today.
“The poll, conducted with 500 likely caucus goers from each party on Wednesday and Thursday, showed Edwards and Obama tied with 29 percent to lead Democrats, followed by Clinton with 28 percent. Bill Richardson was fourth with 7 percent. Joe Biden was fifth with 3 percent. Chris Dodd and Dennis Kucinich both had 1 percent and 2 percent were undecided.”
The margin of error was +/- 4.5%, clearing showing that Democrats were equally divided. Among Democrats, 19% still said they are likely or very likely to change their minds. Keep an eye on Iowa Democrats’ second choices.
In other news, keep your ears open for message testing calls or “push polls.” Desmoinesdem highlighted her husband’s call here and I just received the same call. Make sure to check out the Off The Bus site about polling experience if you’ve received any calls.Continue Reading...