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Bleeding Heartland
It's what plants crave.
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ia-04 
Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:15:00 PM CDT
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Representative Steve King announced on twitter Friday night, "I will not run for Senate in 2014. A Senate race takes me out of urgent battles in Congress that can't wait until 2015. Many thanks to all."
Those battles include immigration reform, where King is a leading voice House Republican voice against any path to legal residency or citizenship. He has also pledged to block the implementation of the 2010 health care reform law.
King's decision should not surprise anyone. He could not win a statewide election for any office in Iowa. I believe that if his internal polling showed the "path to victory" he claimed to see, he would be in the Senate race already. In contrast, he is favored to hold the Republican-leaning fourth Congressional district for the next decade. His likely Democratic opponent Jim Mowrer will face a steep uphill battle.
Any relevant comments are welcome in this thread. The statement posted on King's Congressional campaign website is after the jump.
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Thu Apr 18, 2013 at 08:25:00 AM CDT
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This week a "gang of eight" U.S. senators (four from each party) released an immigration reform bill. Jordan Fabian of ABC News published a good overview of the proposal, while Ted Hesson explained how the bill addresses seven of the "most-asked" questions about immigration reform.
Representative Steve King has long opposed creating any path to legal residence or citizenship for undocumented immigrants. Among U.S. House Republicans, he has been the loudest voice pushing back against the "gang of eight." In the process, King reminded everyone why the GOP establishment will be so relieved when he finally acknowledges that he's not running for U.S. Senate next year.
UPDATE: Added an official statement from King below.
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Tue Apr 16, 2013 at 07:15:00 AM CDT
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April 15 was the deadline for Congressional candidates to file reports on their fundraising and expenditures for the first quarter of 2013. Details on all of the Iowa incumbents and some other declared candidates are after the jump. At this writing, not every report has been posted on the Federal Elections Commission website. I will update this post as more information becomes available.
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Mon Apr 08, 2013 at 10:35:00 AM CDT
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A Democratic challenger to Representative Steve King has emerged for 2014. Citing an unnamed source, Abby Livingston reported for Roll Call today that Jim Mowrer is "all but certain to run" in Iowa's fourth Congressional district next year.
Some Bleeding Heartland readers will recognize Mowrer's name. An Iraq War veteran who used to live in Des Moines, Mowrer headed the Iowa Veterans for Joe Biden committee in 2007 and was Midwest Veterans Chair for the Obama-Biden campaign in 2008. Since late 2009, he has worked as special assistant to the Under Secretary of the Army in the U.S. Department of Defense. Mowrer has also been a senior adviser to Vote Vets, a political advocacy group focused on veterans' issues.
Livingston's source says Mowrer has met with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee staff and will run in IA-04 whether or not the seat is open. I am still confident that Steve King will seek a seventh term in the House, but he hasn't ruled out running for U.S. Senate.
Mowrer could be a strong candidate, but the fourth district is very tough for Democrats. The latest figures from the Iowa Secretary of State's Office indicate that IA-04 contains 130,864 registered Democrats, 180,410 Republicans, and 178,050 no-party voters.
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Mon Mar 25, 2013 at 11:10:00 AM CDT
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Representative Steve King told reporters in Des Moines today that the chances he will run for the U.S. Senate in 2014 are "a little more than 50-50." He dropped similar hints last month and has indicated to the Sioux City Journal's Bret Hayworth that he's leaning toward running as well.
I don't care how many times King insists that he is carefully analyzing the pros and cons of a U.S. Senate bid. He's neither dumb enough nor brave enough to leave the safe confines of Iowa's fourth Congressional district.
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Wed Mar 20, 2013 at 07:05:00 AM CDT
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Dubuque business owner Rod Blum told the Marshall County Republican Central Committee this week that he plans to enter the GOP primary to represent the open first Congressional district. Blum finished a close second to Ben Lange in the 2012 IA-01 primary. Cedar Rapids business owner Steve Rathje was the first Republican to announce in IA-01. I haven't heard any news lately about other possible Republican candidates in the first district, like State Representative Walt Rogers or former Secretary of State Paul Pate.
Iowa House Majority Leader Linda Upmeyer predicted on Sunday that the first Iowa woman elected governor or to Congress will be a Republican. If no Democratic woman steps up in IA-01, I believe Upmeyer will be proven right. I have heard from several independent sources that State Senator Liz Mathis is privately telling Democrats she won't run for Congress. Senate President Pam Jochum took herself out of the running last month. Former Iowa House Speaker Pat Murphy is the only declared Democratic candidate so far. State Senator Steve Sodders is talking with potential supporters about the race.
I haven't heard about any Republican planning to run against four-term Democrat Dave Loebsack in IA-02. For now, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee does not appear worried about holding this district.
According to the Des Moines rumor mill, former State Senator Staci Appel is considering a run for Congress in IA-03. Appel lives in Warren County and served one term in the Iowa Senate before losing to Republican Kent Sorenson in 2010. Mike Sherzan is currently the only declared Democratic challenger to ten-term Republican Tom Latham.
I haven't heard of any Democrats planning to challenge six-term incumbent Steve King in IA-04. I'm still confident King will not run for the U.S. Senate. But if King does leave the fourth district open, many Republicans are rumored to be thinking about that race, including Upmeyer and State Representative Chip Baltimore.
Any comments about next year's Congressional races in Iowa are welcome in this thread. A Congressional map is after the jump, along with the latest voter registration numbers in each district and Stuart Rothenberg's comments on why he does not consider Latham or King vulnerable in 2014.
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Sun Mar 17, 2013 at 10:05:00 AM CDT
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Happy St. Patrick's Day to Bleeding Heartland readers who celebrate the occasion. This is an open thread; all topics are welcome. For a laugh, enjoy The Onion's recent write-up of Iowa fashion week: "The big themes this season are 'roomy,' 'loose,' and 'comfortable.'"
After the jump I've posted a few links about health and happiness, including details from Gallup's 2012 report on well-being in the United States. Iowa ranked ninth on the "Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index" but was not one of the "elite five states" that have shown consistently high levels of resident well-being over five years.
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Thu Mar 07, 2013 at 08:20:00 AM CST
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Yesterday the U.S. House approved a bill to fund the federal government through the remainder of the current fiscal year. Dave Loebsack (IA-02) was one of 53 House Democrats to vote for the spending bill, along with most of the Republican caucus. Follow me after the jump for details and the latest sleight of hand by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
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Sat Feb 09, 2013 at 20:55:54 PM CST
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What's on your mind this weekend, Bleeding Heartland readers? A few links related to Iowa demographics are after the jump, along with highlights from this week's "Iowa Press" program, featuring Republican Party of Iowa Chair A.J. Spiker and Iowa Democratic Party Chair Tyler Olson.
This is an open thread.
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Tue Feb 05, 2013 at 09:35:46 AM CST
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Representative Tom Latham (IA-03) told journalists in Washington yesterday that he is thinking about running for the U.S. Senate in 2014. He declined to specify when he will announce his plans, but he said he will "make my own decision" rather than be influenced by Representative Steve King (IA-04). Deirdre Walsh reported for CNN,
Pressed if he thinks a Senate bid by King could hurt the GOP's chances of taking the seat - something other national Republicans have expressed concerns over - Latham told reporters outside the House floor that King is "a very viable member of Congress."
If Latham wants the Senate seat, he would be advised to announce sooner rather than later. A few days ago, King told conservative talk radio host Larry O'Connor that he is "fifty-fifty" on running for the Senate seat. Click through to listen to King's comments. In weighing his decision, he is considering "whether the energy is out there" to support his bid and "whether we can raise the money" for a statewide race. I still expect King to stay in IA-04, where he's safe for the next decade, but he may be tempted to take on the Republican establishment.
The least likely scenario in my mind is Latham and King running against each other in a GOP primary. If one of them announces a Senate campaign, the other will stay out. A new Wenzel Strategies poll of "likely Republican primary voters" in Iowa found that King would be the early leader in a Senate primary, with Latham in second place and Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds third. Public Policy Polling surveyed Iowa Republicans over the weekend and found King leading among moderates as well as among respondents who described themselves as "very conservative."
UPDATE: I missed this story at the Rothenberg Political Report last night. Latham's changing the name of his campaign committee from "Latham for Congress" to "Iowans for Latham."
SECOND UPDATE: Michael Devine, a talk radio host for KVFD AM 1400 in Fort Dodge, posted on Facebook today, "Congressman Steve King told us this morning the chances are 'better than 50 percent' he will run for the Senate."
THIRD UPDATE: Excerpts from Public Policy Polling's latest Iowa poll findings are after the jump.
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Sun Feb 03, 2013 at 14:43:46 PM CST
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After a dismal performance by his political vehicles in 2012, the man once known as "Bush's brain" is working to stop unelectable Republican candidates from winning GOP primaries in 2014. Jeff Zeleny reports in today's New York Times that Karl Rove's super-PAC American Crossroads is creating the "Conservative Victory Project." One of Rove's associates confirmed that stopping Representative Steve King from becoming the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate in Iowa will be a priority.
Details and toplines from the first poll on the open IA-Sen race are below.
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Mon Jan 28, 2013 at 11:16:00 AM CST
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Iowa politics watchers continue to chew over the possibilities for the open U.S. Senate race next year. To no one's surprise, Governor Terry Branstad ruled out a Senate bid this morning, saying he's never been interested in leaving Iowa to serve for six years in Washington, DC. Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds told journalists that she is focused on the Branstad administration's agenda for Iowa but keeping her "options open" on the Senate race. Many other Republicans are thinking about it too, and only Representative Tom Latham has the potential to clear the field.
On the Democratic side, speculation continues to center around Representative Bruce Braley, who confirmed yesterday that he is considering running for Tom Harkin's seat. If Braley takes on the Senate race, many Democrats expect State Senator Liz Mathis to run in the first Congressional district. She is well-known among Iowans in the Cedar Rapids television market, thanks to her previous career in news broadcasting. Senate President Pam Jochum of Dubuque said today that the IA-01 race is "something to think about." Jochum indicated that to run and serve in Congress, she would need support for her developmentally disabled adult daughter, who lives with her.
Any comments related to the reshuffle in Iowa politics are welcome in this thread. UPDATE: Also no surprise: Democratic State Senator Matt McCoy of Des Moines would consider running in IA-03 if Latham goes for the Senate seat.
SECOND UPDATE: Iowa Senate Minority Leader Bill Dix ruled out running for either the U.S. Senate or IA-01 in 2014. Dix left the Iowa House in 2006 to run for the open seat in IA-01, but finished second in the GOP primary. Further updates are after the jump.
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Sun Jan 27, 2013 at 07:10:00 AM CST
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Busy weekend in Iowa politics! I'm continuing to update the post on Tom Harkin retiring with reactions and speculation about possible Senate candidates. Here's an open thread for anything else on your mind.
A bunch of links that caught my eye this week are after the jump.
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Tue Jan 15, 2013 at 19:33:20 PM CST
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The U.S. House approved a Disaster Relief Appropriations Act primarily aimed at Hurricane Sandy victims tonight, but Iowans Tom Latham (IA-03) and Steve King (IA-04) were among the majority of House Republicans who voted against the bill.
UPDATE: Added King's comment below.
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Thu Dec 20, 2012 at 17:25:00 PM CST
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U.S. House Agriculture Committee Chair Frank Lucas announced today that Representative Steve King (IA-04 in the new Congress) will chair the Subcommittee on Department Operations, Oversight, and Nutrition. King has been one of the loudest critics of the U.S. Department of Agriculture in recent years. His new position will give him a more visible platform to battle policies championed by U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack--the husband of King's most recent Congressional challenger, Christie Vilsack.
King opposed the USDA's settlement in the Pigford case, which involved longstanding government discrimination against African-American farmers. He also objected to the hiring of a claimant in the Pigford settlement to a prominent USDA position. Though King has tried and failed to block spending on the Pigford settlement, chairing a subcommittee may allow him to investigate what he describes as "fraud" in USDA payments to African-Americans.
Regarding the USDA's nutrition programs, King wants to spend less on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (commonly known as food stamps) than the Obama administration. He wants to overhaul the USDA's new school lunch standards and has sponsored a bill to overturn restrictions on calories and portion sizes for children in public schools. In King's view, "nutrition Nannies" at the USDA, led by Vilsack, have "put every kid on a diet." Vilsack announced earlier this month that school districts will have more time to adapt to the new rules, but he defended the standards as an important weapon against the childhood obesity epidemic. I expect King to hold hearings on this issue in early 2013.
After the jump I've posted King's press release about his new position. He vowed to make sure tax dollars are spent wisely in USDA programs.
Following the 2010 elections, King was expected to become chairman of the House Judiciary Committee's subcommittee on immigration issues, but House leaders feared he was too much of a lightning rod for that job.
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Wed Dec 12, 2012 at 11:45:00 AM CST
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The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is paying for robocalls in Iowa's third and fourth Congressional districts accusing Republicans Tom Latham and Steve King of "holding the middle class hostage."
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Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 16:35:00 PM CST
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Losing a re-election contest is no fun for any state legislator, but defeated incumbents often land on their feet. Such is the case with outgoing State Senator Merlin Bartz and State Representative Annette Sweeney.
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Tue Dec 04, 2012 at 07:48:29 AM CST
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The latest voter registration numbers in all 99 Iowa counties are out, and I wanted to do one final update on the registration totals in each county, grouped by Congressional district. Statewide, Republicans had led Democrats in voter registrations since April, but that lead was almost gone by the beginning of November. Late GOTV and election-day registrants helped put Democrats a little ahead again. As of December 3, Iowa had 640,776 active registered Democrats, 636,315 Republicans, and 722,348 no-party voters.
In the tables below, I also added vote totals for President Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, and the major-party Congressional candidates in each county, to show which candidates outpolled or underperformed their party's presidential nominee. I'm not convinced that Christie Vilsack could have beaten Tom Latham in IA-03, but Leonard Boswell finished noticeably behind the president in this district, especially in Polk County.
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