Demographically, Pennsylvania is an uphill climb for Obama

Probably you knew that already, but techfidel provides this great analysis of the demographics in Ohio and Pennsylvania, going down to the county level.

The bottom line is that if the various demographic groups vote the same way in PA as they did in OH, techfidel projects a 57-43 victory for Hillary.

Click the link to see the maps and read the detailed explanation. There is also a spreadsheet you can download if you’re interested.

About the Author(s)

desmoinesdem

  • Very nice

    That is interesting analysis by techfidel.  Thanks for posting that.

    I would not be surprised if Obama lost by about that margin.  It really doesn’t change the race though.  Clinton needs to win huge to make a difference mathematically.  Her candidacy would be done if the media focused on objective reporting, rather than infotainment.  

     

    • I think she should stay in

      though I agree that she is unlikely to make up the difference in pledged delegates. It’s the closest nominating contest in my lifetime, and I think it’s good for all the remaining states to have their say. As I’ve written, I think re-votes in FL and MI would have been good for the party as well.

      I expect that after Puerto Rico, it will be obvious that Obama is ahead, and the superdelegates will close out the race at that time.

Comments