Nevada and South Carolina prediction open thread

The Nevada caucuses and the GOP primary in South Carolina take place tomorrow. How do you think the candidates will do? Here is my stab in the dark:

Nevada

Clinton 42

Obama 38

Edwards 20

Romney 35

McCain 30

Huckabee 15

Paul 5

Thompson 3

Giuliani 2

South Carolina

McCain 32

Huckabee 28

Thompson 20

Romney 12

Giuliani 5

Paul 3

About the Author(s)

desmoinesdem

  • Obama's due a pleasant surprise...

    Let me warm up the ol’ crystal ball…I’m seeing:

    Nevada Dem:

    Obama 43%  

    Clinton 40%

    Edwards 15%

    Kucinich 2%  (This is Area 51 country after all…)

    My crystal ball says that the at-large sites and the Culinary Union endorsement edge Obama over the top. Not to mention that UNLV should be back in session now.

    Nevada GOP:

    Romney 25%

    McCain 20%

    Giuliani 17%

    Huckabee 14%

    F. Thompson 12%

    Paul 10%

    Hunter 2%

    My crystal ball says that Rudy pulls off a surprise third place finish and becomes the story of the night. Huckabee just doesn’t have the evangelical base he needs here.

    South Carolina GOP:

    McCain 28%

    Huckabee 25%

    Romney 20%

    F. Thompson 12%

    Giuliani 10%

    Paul 5%

    Hunter 0%

    My crystal ball says that Nevada and South Carolina create two very different pictures. I’m not sure what will happen from here, but I’d imagine Fred Thompson will drop out after S.C.

  • I believe...

    Obama will win in Nevada, along with Romeny, while Huckabee will win in South Carolina.

  • ...

    Nevada

    Democrats:

    Clinton 40

    Obama 35

    Edwards 25

    Republicans:

    Romney 40

    Paul 17

    McCain 15

    Giuliani 10

    Huckabee 10

    Thompson 8

    South Carolina

    Huckabee 25

    McCain 24

    Romney 15

    Thompson 15

    Paul 10

    Giuliani 9

    Hunter 2

  • My Predictions

    After New Hampshire, I have no clue.  Just going to be sitting and watching, trying not to freeze.

    • well, obviously

      none of us have a clue! I thought Huckabee’s ad would do real damage to Romney in Michigan…

      I am just hoping Edwards gets 20 percent. He was outgunned on tv and radio in Nevada and really needed that union backing.

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