Laura Belin

Iowa Democrats dismiss Julián Castro’s critique at our peril

Jan 04, 2020

I don't think we can say for sure

that increasing participation by many thousands would not produce a different result.

The experiences of Nebraska and Washington in 2016 suggest the opposite. Bernie won both of those states’ caucuses easily, but Hillary won the primaries by a wide margin. If caucuses are much harder to attend for senior citizens, lower-income people, shift workers etc., there may be candidates who would do a lot better in a primary with higher turnout.

I believe Joe Biden will be hurt far more than Warren, Sanders, or Buttigieg by the demise of the virtual caucus, because his strongest bloc is older voters.

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