It’s time for political junkies in the Bleeding Heartland community to make their best guesses about what will happen next Tuesday. Twenty questions about this year’s elections in Iowa are after the jump. To enter the contest, post your predictions in this thread before 7 am on November 2. Remember, percentages don’t always have to add up to 100 percent; several contests feature minor-party candidates.
The contest winner will receive no prize, just bragging rights for being the the Bleeding Heartland community’s most astute observer of Iowa politics in 2010. Can you match American007’s performance in 2008 or ModerateIADem’s prowess in this year’s primary election contest?
1. How many Iowans will cast ballots in this year’s general election? For reference, 1,044,459 ballots were cast in Iowa in November 2006.
2. What percentage of the vote will Chet Culver and Terry Branstad receive in the governor’s race?
3. Which minor-party candidate will receive more votes for governor: Libertarian Eric Cooper or Iowa Party candidate Jonathan Narcisse?
4. What percentage of the vote will Chuck Grassley and Roxanne Conlin receive in the U.S. Senate race?
5. What percentage of the vote will Bruce Braley and Ben Lange receive in the first Congressional district?
6. What percentage of the vote will Dave Loebsack and Mariannette Miller-Meeks receive in the second Congressional district?
7. What percentage of the vote will Leonard Boswell and Brad Zaun receive in the third Congressional district?
8. What percentage of the vote will Tom Latham and Bill Maske receive in the fourth Congressional district?
9. What percentage of the vote will Steve King and Matt Campbell receive in the fifth Congressional district?
10. How many Democrats and Republicans will be elected to the U.S. House of Representatives? (current numbers: 255 Democrats, 178 Republicans, 2 vacancies)
11. How many Democrats and Republicans will be elected to the U.S. Senate? (current numbers: 41 Republicans, 57 Democrats, 2 independents who caucus with Democrats)
12. How many Democrats and Republicans will be elected to the Iowa House? (current numbers: 56 Democrats and 44 Republicans)
13. How many Democrats and Republicans will be elected to the Iowa Senate? (current numbers: 32 Democrats and 18 Republicans)
14. What percentage of the vote will Tom Miller and Brenna Findley receive in the attorney general race?
15. What percentage of the vote will Michael Mauro and Matt Schultz receive in the secretary of state race?
16. What percentage of the vote will Michael Fitzgerald and Dave Jamison receive in the state treasurer race?
17. What percentage of the vote will Bill Northey and Francis Thicke receive in the secretary of agriculture race?
18. What percentage of the vote will David Vaudt and Jon Murphy receive in the state auditor race?
19. What percentage of “yes” votes on retention will Supreme Court Justices Marsha Ternus, Michael Streit and David Baker receive? (you do not have to guess the same number for all three judges)
20. What percentage of “yes” votes will there be on the ballot measure relating to a constitutional convention?
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