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 Bleeding Heartland

Rasmussen poll finds slight lead for Romney in Iowa

Republican Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama by 46 percent to 44 percent in Iowa, according to a poll Rasmussen Reports released today.

Full results and cross-tabs for this poll are for paid Rasmussen subscribers only. Here are the questions the pollster asked 500 likely Iowa voters on August 8. The survey’s margin for error is plus or minus 4.5 percent.

In June, Rasmussen found Romney leading Obama in Iowa by 47 percent to 46 percent. Last month Public Policy Polling found Obama leading Romney in Iowa by 48 percent to 43 percent. Looking at polls taken in many states this year, Rasmussen results tend to be more favorable to Romney, while PPP results tend to show better numbers for Obama.

Both campaigns clearly consider the race to be very close here. Romney visited Iowa again this week, while the president is returning next week. Both campaigns as well as outside groups continue to advertise heavily on Iowa television stations.

Any comments about the presidential election are welcome in this thread.

Tags: 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Polls

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desmoinesdem

7 Comments

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  • Outside groups advertising....

    The Joe Soptic advertisment is an absolute disgrace.  I think we have reached the bottom of the barrel in outside groups and slimeball advertising for candidates.

    While no candidate has endorsed that type of ad, those types of ads are disgusting, misleading, and unneeded in any type of campaign.  When false ads like that are run, it is imperative of the campaigns to distance themselves ASAP.

    I hope Iowans are smart enough to see through most of those.

    mirage  Fri 10 Aug 3:55 PM

    • I don't think

      any of these summer tv ad campaigns are doing much beyond reinforcing the views of people who already plan to vote for Obama or Romney.

      There are many misleading ads on both sides. “My father’s hands never built this business?” was a blatant distortion of what Obama said. The Crossroads and American Future Fund ads are deceptive as well.

      desmoinesdem  Fri 10 Aug 5:18 PM

  • new information comes to light...

    according to the Washington post, Soptic was featured in a previous ad sponsored by the Obama campaign, and a town hall like conference hall also sponsered by the campaign.  

    Looks like Joe Soptic and the Obama campaign have a long, tight history.  Now, with Mr. Soptic finally being vetted and found to be…let’s say far less than honest….this new ad of his gets ugly for the Obama campaign.

    Stay tuned…………

    mirage  Fri 10 Aug 4:49 PM

  • Before accepting a partisan responder's spin on this

    It may be fruitful to consult another partisan’s (same party as the first one’s) spin on the same issue. Even includes reference to the inventor of the genre, Karl Rove no less.

    In Taegan Goddards Political Wire this aft:

    http://politicalwire.com/archi…

    conservative-demo  Fri 10 Aug 5:14 PM

    • I doubt

      many people have changed their opinion about Romney because of any of the summer tv ads, although I saw this piece a few weeks ago claiming the Bain ads have hurt him.

      Obama’s onslaught on Romney has not made a dent in national polls, which show the race for the White House deadlocked.

      But there are signs the negative ads and focused discussion on Romney’s business background are hurting the Republican in much the same way the attacks on John Kerry’s Vietnam service hurt the Democratic nominee in the 2004 race, when national numbers held but key biographical metrics began to erode for Kerry.

      In a swing-state survey from Purple Strategies released Monday, nearly 4 in 10 voters said new information they had learned in the past week made them consider Romney less favorably than they had before, and 42 percent of independents said Romney was “too out of touch” to be president. In Colorado, Virginia and Ohio, Romney’s favorability numbers have dropped from June.

      According to Google, Internet searches for Bain Capital have increased exponentially within the last week, as questions about Romney’s tenure have swirled. The states showing the largest uptick in search traffic include Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida and North Carolina – indicating targeted advertisements by the Obama campaign and its allies are driving interest. […]

      In the month after the 2004 Democratic convention – when commercials challenging Kerry’s military service first hit – polling from Republican strategist FMA showed that in battleground states, those who saw the commercials and changed their voting intentions broke for President George W. Bush by a 3-to-1 margin.

      I think the tax returns could continue to hurt Romney, though. It’s not credible to call Reid a liar when Romney won’t release his returns. If Reid’s not telling the truth, Romney could prove him wrong in 10 minutes.

      desmoinesdem  Fri 10 Aug 5:23 PM

  • I'm not paying attention to public pollsters

    I think it’s very close, and presently I’d have to give the edge to Romney based on lack of Dem base enthusiasm (in general) along with anti-immigrant sentiment and fiscal conservatism in Iowa. Loebsack’s abundance of caution probably speaks to this as well.

    albert  Fri 10 Aug 7:50 PM

    • Immigration

      As a bit of an old school Malthusian the right wing economists have yet to prove to me that there are enough jobs to go around in order to provide for everyone so I have to say that I don’t consider myself to be anti-immigrant, but I don’t think we have enough jobs to support poor folks here.  I think you can throw all the money you want at education and it won’t solve the problem either.  The charts of the academics may say there are enough jobs, but I don’t believe them.  

      moderateiadem  Fri 10 Aug 10:11 PM

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