Republicans request public input...but fail to listen

( - promoted by Drew Miller)

I’m reposting a recent press release from Speaker of the Iowa House – Pat Murphy:

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

For More Information:

Dean Fiihr, 515-281-0817

FOUR REPUBLICANS REQUEST PUBLIC HEARING BUT DON’T SHOW UP

Des Moines, Iowa – Four House Republicans, who requested a rare public hearing last week in the Iowa House, did not attend their own public hearing.  The members who did not attend the public hearing they requested include: Rep. Carmine Boal, R-Ankeny; Rep. Linda Miller, R-Bettendorf; Rep. Scott Raecker, R-Urbandale; and Rep. Tami Wiencek, R-Waterloo.

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Union Endorsements

Obama is skipping the Nevada AFSCME forum this month, but attending the SEIU one in March.  Could this have to do with AFSCME President Gerald McEntee’s Clinton connections?  While AFSCME is the bigger union in Iowa, SEIU is substantial too, and is much more up for grabs this time around.

Edwards also has some ins with the UFCW and UNITE-HERE – two CTW coalition unions that have a strong presence in Nevada – but he doesn’t seem to have strong labor support in Iowa.

I think what you’re likely to see this year is another one where union support splits amongst several candidates.  This hurts labor overall.  Instead of creating a clear consensus candidate, it makes it look like decisions are being made for political reasons and reduces both intra- and inter-union support for the endorsed candidates.

2008: Ranking the Democrats

Today, the National Journal released their latest rankings on the Democrats seeking the presidential nomination in 2008.  Here are their rankings:

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Barack Obama

3. John Edwards

4. Bill Richardson

5. Chris Dodd

6. Tom Vilsack

7. Joe Biden

8. Wesley Clark

9. Dennis Kucinich

10. Mike Gravel

Make sure to check out what they have to say about each candidate and the fundraising predictions that they are making.

Let me add a couple of things to the questions or things they are talking about in their descriptions of each candidate.  It seems that they frame Clinton’s problem as one of responsibility or the ability to appear genuine.  Iowa Democrats, in my opinion, are looking for a genuine candidate who is able, ready, and willing to admit mistakes.  John Edwards and Barack Obama easily have that advantage over her — and I’m pretty sure some Iowa Democrats are already holding that against her.

Chuck Todd and Marc Ambinder are looking for some staff beyond Nevada to impress them some more and prove that he is everyone’s second choice.  Here’s some nice news that I have heard: former Iowa Democratic Party Field Director Brad Frevert has joined Richardson’s campaign as his go-to guy for Iowa field operations.  Frevert’s an Iowa-boy, and worked with Jesse Harris (who is Vilsack’s field guy), so we know he’s got Iowa field knowledge coming out the wazoo.

They note that Chris Dodd is basically raising lots of money because he’s got a cushy position as Chair of the Senate Banking Committee.  It is true, but he’s also taking leadership on restoring Habeas Corpus.  That’ll give him a little edge with which to hold on to some grassroots activists.

Finally, we get to Vilsack, and this is the question I have to ask: Does the endorsement of Barack Obama by Tom Miller and Mike Fitzgerald really mean anything?  Todd and Ambinder seem to think that’s bad news, as do the folks over at CityView’s Civic Skinny.  Now, maybe because I’m young I might be a bit naive about Iowa politics, but do Miller and Fitzgerald really have that big of a following in Iowa that their endorsement would swing Iowa voters to Obama?  I don’t believe that for one bit, but I guess I have to keep inserting the naive bit just in case.  Both Miller and Fitzgerald have been around in state Democratic politics forever and neither were indebted to Vilsack at all, so I don’t think there was a lot of pressure for Vilsack to lock up their endorsement.

And let’s not forget, Tom Miller endorsed Joe Lieberman in 2004 and Lieberman didn’t even make it to the caucuses.  I’m not saying Obama won’t make it to the caucuses (he will) but Miller seems to endorsed based on how well you’re doing early on in the race, not simply based on issues.

Finally, Joe Biden will be back in the state this weekend (or is supposed to be, but it looks like Sen. Reid might be scheduling a vote for Saturday), so I think we’ll officially be able to gauge Iowan reactions to his campaign after he’s been here as a serious candidate.

Anyway, what’re your thoughts on the rankings?  And if you haven’t already, make sure to vote in the poll on the left side of the page.

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Boswell Back on the Frontline

The DCCC Frontline program is basically all about protecting vulnerable incumbents.  Perennial member Leonard Boswell is back on this year, and is the only Rep. from Iowa listed.  Notably missing from the list are Carol Shea-Porter from New Hampshire and Nancy Boyda from Kansas.  Here’s the whole thing:

Representative Jason Altmire (PA-04)

Representative Michael Arcuri (NY-24)

Representative John Barrow (GA-12)

Representative Melissa Bean (IL-08)

Representative Leonard Boswell (IA-03)

Representative Christopher Carney (PA-10)

Representative Joe Courtney (CT-02)

Representative Joe Donnelly (IN-02)

Representative Chet Edwards (TX-17)

Representative Brad Ellsworth (IN-08)

Representative Gabrielle Giffords (AZ-08)

Representative Kirsten Gillibrand (NY-20)

Representative John Hall (NY-19)

Representative Baron Hill (IN-09)

Representative Paul Hodes (NH-02)

Representative Steve Kagen (WI-08)

Representative Ron Klein (FL-22)

Representative Nick Lampson (TX-22)

Representative Tim Mahoney (FL-16)

Representative Jim Marshall (GA-08)

Representative Jerry McNerney (CA-11)

Representative Harry Mitchell (AZ-05)

Representative Christopher Murphy (CT-05)

Representative Patrick Murphy (PA-08)

Representative Ciro Rodriguez (TX-23)

Representative Heath Shuler (NC-11)

Representative Zack Space (OH-18)

Representative Tim Walz (MN-01)

Representative John Yarmuth (KY-03)

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Iowa Senate votes to oppose Iraq War escalation

Here is the opening statement by floor manager and Senate President Jack Kibbie (D-Emmettsburg) on SR 15, which had 28 of 30 Democrats as co-sponsors (Rob Hogg and Steve Warnstadt didn’t sign on):

You can read the full text of his statement below the fold.

I admit, I didn’t track the debate or listen to it (one of the problems with being a college student is that you have a lot of stuff to do), but on a voice vote, the resolution passed the Iowa Senate.  With a voice vote, there isn’t a total count of supporters or those in the opposition, but it would have passed anyway with at least 28 Yea votes thanks to the Democratic sponsors.  Iowa’s Senate is now the third legislative body in the country to pass an anti-escalation resolution.

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Iowa Caucus Polling Average

I’m skipping ARG polls for my average, because they are awful.

Taking only those from the last month (just Zogby and Strategic Vision), the average is:

Edwards – 24.5

Clinton – 19.5

Obama – 17.5

Vilsack – 12.5

Biden – 4

No one else had poll results for both.  It is interesting that Biden has seemingly positioned himself at the top of the second tier.

If you go back to the Research 2000 poll (pdf) (taken before either Obama or Clinton announced) the polls don’t change that much:

Edwards – 23.7

Obama – 19

Clinton – 16.3

Vilsack – 12.3

Right now Obama and Clinton are fighting for 2nd place in Iowa.  We’ll see which one can break away from that first.  Edwards is coasting on residual support from 2004, and will need to raise some money and start getting some organization set up in Iowa if he wants to both hold those people and generate new supporters.

Those Crazy Van Fossens

While neither Van Fossen was targeted by the Iowa Democratic Party in the last election, Elesha Gayman still managed to defeat Jim (with strong labor support), and Jamie held on by fewer than 600 votes.  Now lesser known Ron Van Fossen, Davenport alderman, is in hot water.  If the charges of wife beating hold up, I’m sure he won’t be sticking around for his next election in 2009.  Even if they don’t, last year’s OWI and the increasingly negative connotation with his last name ought to be enough to keep him from running.

Now we just need to get rid of Jamie and we will soon have a Van Fossen-free Iowa.  I think that’s perfectly doable.

ObamaSpace

( - promoted by Drew Miller)

It’s official.  Barack Obama has way more friends than we do.

A new Web site, TechPresident.com, is keeping track of how many friends each presidential campaign has on MySpace.

Here’s the breakdown as of today:

And look!  The Republicans are trying too!

For the record, everyone should know that Borat of Kazakhstan has 421,238 MySpace friends.

Tila Tequila, the original MySpace “artist” and spammer has 1,670,131 MySpace friends.

Barack Obama has done a great job on Facebook too.  The One Million Strong for Barack group is up to 268,205 members.  How many of those are from an early primary state?  In fact, how many of those folks are not from Illinois?  Your guess is as good as mine.  But kudos to Team Obama for reaching out to social networks.

http://snipehunter-p…

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Obama Wasted

Haha, I wish.

Seriously though, the flap about Obama’s comment here in Ames about the lives of 3000 troops being “wasted” is ridiculous.  It’s absurd because he was not only right, he was too kind.  For the lives of our troops to be wasted, the war in Iraq would have to be a zero sum game – we would have to be no better off no than when we were when we pre-emptively initiated it.

We’re not.  We’re a lot worse off.  90% of Democrats and the vast majority of Americans recognize that.  I’m willing to acknowledge that is wasn’t the most couth statement that he could have made, but it’s not like he was wrong.  I really wish the media would cover this objectively – “was he right or wasn’t he” rather than the whole “did it offend people or didn’t it” narrative that they seem to be adopting.  Maybe offending people isn’t the worse thing someone can do while trying to lead a country out of a tragedy.

Obama Ames speech impressions

( - promoted by Drew Miller)

First Diary anywhere.  Forgive the disjointedness.

I went to the speech.  There were around 4-5k people there by my rough estimate (bottom tier of seats at Hilton full 2/3 of the way around, 400 or so on the floor, and top tier sparsely seated 2/3 of the way around.)  In respose to the question below as to whether it would be mostly students, I would say that it appeared to be about 1/2-2/3 students. 

Seemed to be his standard speech (see the reviews of his Springfield speech.)  His speech didn’t have obvious pauses for applause, so the audience never got roaring, just moderate rounds of applause.  He included calls for increased teacher pay, which seems out of place in a presidential race given that teacher pay is a state and local issue.  Smacked too much of telling people what they want to hear.

Was dissapointed by one introduction (I think it was Tom Miller) who stated Barack was the “only major candidate” to actively oppose the Iraq war from the beginning.  That whole “major candidate” political weaselling to shut out Kucinich and Vilsack seemed unnecessary.  Sure he’s trying to win, but a shout out to those who support his views would seem to be a magnanimous gesture.  And if those other candidates are really so minor,  why not get on their good sides for when their campaigns go under?

He must have read Snipehunter’s diary, as he did actively solicit caucus pledge cards from the audience.

I was dissapointed by his use of the term “homeland”.  The term still gives me the willies and there is no reason to continue to use it.  “Our nation” worked just fine for 200 years.  Let’s take back the framing of the debate and drop this Republican coined phrase.

I was also dissapointed by another phrase he used. He stated that America must be feared AND respected, or words to that effect.  Implying that we need more active diplomacy, which is of course a good thing.  But really, I see no reason for us to be feared at all.  That’s a meme that can die with “homeland.”

But all in all, he was clean and articulate and I’d have a beer with him.

New Staffer Updates for Hillary and Obama

( - promoted by Drew Miller)

We have a new round of Iowa staffer updates.

As Chris Woods reported yesterday, Chris Hayler of John Kerry and Evan Bayh fame has been picked up by the Hillary campaign as its Iowa Political Director.

This morning’s Hotline reports that Mark Daley has been picked up by Hillary as her Iowa Communications Director.  Daley is the executive director of One Iowa, and previously held posts as Communications Director for the Iowa Democratic Party and Leonard Boswell for Congress.

I am also hearing rumblings that Steve Chasse has been picked up by the Obama campaign.  He’s a great pick up.  Formerly with John Kerry in 2004 and more recently aligned with Governor Mark Warner’s bid, Chasse has solid labor ties.

CAMPAIGN DEBT: Insult to Injury

( - promoted by Drew Miller)

After checking out the FEC reports on U.S. House candidates available on the Web, it’s fair to say that losing an election doesn’t just put you down in the dumps emotionally.  It also puts you in the poor house.  Unfortunately, it’s a bipartisan problem.  With that said, the worst offenders are Republicans.

Check out some of these losing candidates who broke the bank (as of Dec. 31, 2006):

1st District

    Richard Dickinson (D)– Cash-on-Hand: $2,300; Debt: $45,909

    William Dix (R)– CoH: $10,658; Debt: $125,000

    Bill Gluba (D)– CoH: $348; Debt: $50,073

    Brian Kennedy (R)– CoH: $1,729; Debt: $126,000

    Mike Whalen (R)– CoH: $4,963; Debt: $448,950

3rd District

    Jeff Lamberti (R)– CoH: $8,476; Debt: $150,000

4th District

    Selden Spencer (D)– CoH: $2,248; Debt: $35,000

5th District

    Jeffrey Ballenger (R)– CoH: $33; Debt: $350,000

    Robert Chambers (D)– CoH: $25; Debt: $19,400

    Roy Neilsen (I)– CoH: $1,036; Debt: $48,500

    Joyce Schulte (D) – CoH: $137; Debt: $48,500

Of course, winning doesn’t necessarily mean you’re in the black:

    Steve King (R)– CoH: $29,332; Debt: $57,233

If you’re friends with any of these folks, expect to get a mailing or seven asking for a bailout.

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Meet the Legislature: Andrew Wenthe (HD 18)

(The latest in a series. You can read the first post here. - promoted by Chris Woods)

The next installment of my “Meet the Legislature” series introduces everyone to Representative Andrew Wenthe.  Andrew is another member of our outstanding class of legislators under 30 years of age.

Andrew has been tapped by the Des Moines Register to blog about his experiences at the Capitol during the session.  You can find his blog here.

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Swift and Co. Thinks They are the Victims of the Immigration Raids

( - promoted by Drew Miller)

I couldn’t believe this story I saw in the newspaper on Saturday. I guess that Swift and Co. thinks they are the victims of the immigration raids that took place last December.

  President and CEO Sam Rovit told the Greeley Tribune in Friday’s editions that the government rejected the company’s offer to help investigate alleged identity theft.

  “They were looking for a marquee to show the administration it was tough on immigration,” he said.

I am sorry Mr. Rovitt, if the administration was looking for a marquee to show that it was tough on immigration your company would have been fined for employing over 1,200 illegal workers. So far Swift and Co. has gotten off the hook and are able to go back to hiring the cheapest labor possible. Our illegal employer problem will continue unless the companies that hire illegal workers are fined.

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2008: Vilsack says "It is time for us to end this war"

I don’t think it gets any more clearer than this from Iowa’s former Governor Tom Vilsack:

“It’s time for Congress to step up, and cut off funding for the status quo. I think it is time for us to end this war. I think it is very clear from the intelligence reports and from the American public … that this is a civil war and our kids are in the middle of it.

It is time for Congress to step up. They have constitutional and a moral responsibility to cut the funding and say to the President in very clear terms: we are listening to the American people …”

He makes it clear that Congress needs to send a message to President Bush, echoing the thoughts and opinions of the American people, and end this war.  And he says it in a persuasive way.

Sen. John Edwards says that silence is betrayal when it comes to Iraq and he is absolutely right.  Today he said a non-binding resolution against the President’s plan was essentially worthless.  Sens. Chris Dodd and Russ Feingold agreed.  I think that judging from Gov. Vilsack’s statements, he is in the same boat.

Kevin Thurman, Vilsack’s Deputy Internet Director for his campaign, posted just a few minutes ago over on Daily Kos highlighting Vilsack’s interview with Norah O’Donnell where he made the comments above.  As Kevin wrote:

“We can’t wait for things to happen two years from now when we win in 2008. It’s time to match our values with action. Time to match our hope with vision.”

Some candidates are taking the time to seriously lead on Iraq as an issue in this race.  Others are just backpedaling from earlier comments or simply treading water.  Vilsack and Edwards have taken strong and clear positions.  Dodd could even be categorized in the same boat.

Vilsack also has taken the lead in rejecting the idea of capping the amount of troops in Iraq, simply based on the logic of his position.  It clearly doesn’t make sense to support ending the war in Iraq and opposing escalation, while at the same time saying, “Well, if you’re going to keep up the war anyway, you can only X amount of soldiers.”  Instead, he’s advocating a position of actually fighting to end the war and bring troops home.

Vilsack’s right, and Democrats should unite behind the same message and in similar form: “It is time for us to end this war!”

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College Democrats

MyDD has a post and a long thread about College Democrats. Both Chase from Iowa Progress and myself have posted comments there about Grinnell, which is I think a real exception for college dem chapters. I was curious what Chris and Drew and everyone else thought about College Democrats and how to get Democrats at various colleges around the state. Drew and I (though mostly Drew) wrote the state party’s college field plan for the last cycle and I thought it might be worthwhile to talk about different strengths and weakness for College Dems on a chapter by chapter, statewide and nationwide basis. I also included a poll for the sake of doing one on the most effective College Dems chapter in the state.

Boswell Hates America?

So Hillary Clinton might not be able to sing all that well, but at least she isn’t talking during the  national anthem.

P.S.  She is still, sadly, a better singer than I am.

Register for Yearly Kos!

Today is the last day for discounted registration for this year’s Yearly Kos convention, being held in Chicago, IL, from August 2-5.  I just paid for my registration, since I’m a student and qualify for the ‘guidelines’ of being a student.  Now I just have to find the money to make sure to pay for my hotel room for my stay there.  I also gave a $25 donation to the convention as a whole.

The schedule of events and speakers haven’t been announced yet, but last year’s conference was amazing.  I was sad I was unable to make it all of the way to Vegas, but I’m sure lots of you know just how the college life is essentially a nice money crunch.

If you can, please sign up and attend.  I’m sure there will be several (if not all of) the Democratic presidential candidates, as well as other Democratic leaders from across the nation.  Best of all, we’ll be able to network with like-minded people offline and in person.  It doesn’t get much better than that.

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