Outsiders reign supreme in Quinnipiac's latest poll of "likely Republican Caucus participants" in Iowa. Click here for the polling memo and full results. After the jump I've posted a couple of tables from the release.
Donald Trump is the first choice of 27 percent of participants, with Ben Carson not far behind at 21 percent. Carson leads among self-identified "born-again evangelicals" in the respondent pool. Among all respondents, Ted Cruz places a distant third at 9 percent, followed by Jeb Bush (6 percent), Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, and Marco Rubio (5 percent each), Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, and don't know/not answer (4 percent each).
Just a couple of months ago, Scott Walker led Quinnipiac's Iowa poll with 18 percent support. The latest survey puts him in tenth place with 3 percent.
Adding today's data to findings from other recent surveys, I believe we can answer the question Bleeding Heartland posed about the Wisconsin governor in March. Despite getting a decent head start here, Walker is looking like the second coming of Tim Pawlenty.
Any comments about the Republican presidential race are welcome in this thread.
From August 27 - September 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,038 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.